WHAT IF “KILO SIERRA-II” FAILS IN TERAI?
WHAT IF “KILO SIERRA-II” FAILS IN TERAI?
Kathmandu: Pundits of social science say that conflicts in different form and dimension remain in the society. It is an all time phenomenon. They further argue that if one conflict is managed, other conflict in different nature and dimension erupts. The society thus runs embracing conflicts.
Yet others say that if conflicts are steered and goaded towards development, the society gains from such a conflict. This means that conflicts should be for social changes and reforms.
However, political scientists on the other hand claim that since the society is a dynamic entity and thus conflicts as such can’t be eliminated from the society for good. Albeit, according to them, the conflicts can be reduced, managed, and transformed but can’t be wiped out completely.
It is here that the pundits of political and sciences agree to disagree with each other.
This scribe had long time back made a story in the Telegraph Weekly predicting that even if the Maoists join the mainstream politics, yet another conflict of much higher dimension would instantly grip the country. The prediction made then was apparently influenced by the theories of political science.
To come to the point, now that the Maoists have in a way fallen in a trap. The trap is that neither they can re-enter the jungles nor can they expect the same honor and treatment from the Indian establishment for a variety of political reasons.
The Maoists must remain attached to this system wherein they have just entered. They have no other cards under their sleeve. It is altogether a different matter that the Maoists ideologies and democratic system are not compatible to each other. Prachanda has recently declared that he does not have belief on the parliamentary system.
Now that the Terai is in crisis, this is what this scribe had predicted a decade back, it appears that the calamity will be much more dangerous and violent than what the Maoists exhibited some time back when they were in the jungles.
If one were to believe what the Naya Patrika Daily has printed the other day, there are more than fifteen Madheshi “battalions” and “platoons” already in existence and the top-hats of these platoons and battalions say bluntly that they will not settle for less this time other than a “separate” State much similar to what the LTTE has been demanding in Sri Lanka.
The commanders of the Terai outfit beamingly say, “We demand Terai as a free and independent state”.
This is not all. They further claim that those who differ with their “theories” would be penalized.
How the penal action would look like is any body’s guess?
More disturbing is the leader’s claim that they were in “connection” with the entire armed outfits currently operating in Terai and wish to fuse the entire strength of the Terai into one single entity in order to face with the State-which according to them, lay in Kathmandu only.
It is in this light, our attention has been drawn towards the fresh meeting of the Chief of the Army Staff, Rukmangad Katuwal and Prime Minister Koirala last Sunday, November 18.
While briefing Koirala, the CoAS is told to have said Koirala in no uncertain terms that if his home ministry can’t contain the Terai crisis, politically or otherwise, the military wouldn’t be a mere onlooker for long time.
In effect, the same thing apparently was repeated by Katuwal to President Carter when the two met each other at the Army Head quarters yesterday.
High placed sources say that unless some thing “important” and politically “significant” were there to be “discussed” in between the two, the two diametrically opposite “theories: -read Carter and Katuwal-would not have met.
What adds strength to this meeting is that only the other day Nancy J. Powell, the US Ambassador to Nepal met not only the Prime Minister but also Katuwal.
Why such meetings? And why every time it is Katuwal? Have they all suggested the PM and the CoAS to go in for a “cleansing” operation of the Terai agitators? Perhaps yes!
Analysts are blunt in saying that the State under Koirala has already become dysfunctional. Its raison d’etre has come to an end as the constitutional expert Daman Nath Dhungana claimed. Others too subscribe to the views expressed by Dhungana.
Terai is boiling. It is boiling because of Koirala’s sheer foolishness. The Teraians demand “identity” which is their “inalienable” right. If their demands are not met with on time, Koirala and the entire State will have to repent. The climax would be the disintegration of the country sooner than later. Take it for granted.
Military solution? That is likely to come into action any time from now. Reports say that Terai will be soon feeling the heat of what has been nick-named Kilo-Sierra-2 operation. Reports say that this “operation” will soon begin which will target those areas in the Terai which are under the control of some Terai groups demanding their rights.
But would the military solution be an appropriate venture or even mis-adventure to tackle a political problem and issue that it is in effect?
Analysts here say that such sweeping “operations” will rather aggravate the situation more. Dealing politically to the political issues is what the demand of the time is. Perhaps the meaning lay underneath.
Albeit, the time has already lapsed for such a military operations which are reportedly being final touches, say reports leaking from the Home Ministry premises.
Certainly, Nepal as a nation-state is undergoing through a very very difficult times. Analysts fear whether the nation-state as such will exist if the entire Terai strength converges at one point?
If Maoists can shake the nation-state which they did in the past, why can’t the Teraians do the same for their genuine rights?
After ten years of their revolution, a time will come when the state will once again invite hopefully the Madheshi leaders from Delhi and offer some “eighty” seats in the would be interim parliament.
The Maoists have taught so many good-bad things to the people here. No wonder if some copy their political style both in content and nature.
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